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管理经济学(英文版 第8版)

管理经济学(英文版 第8版)

定 价:¥89.00

作 者: 克里斯托弗 R. 托马斯
出版社: 机械工业出版社
丛编项: 图灵原版数字·统计学系列
标 签: 经济与管理 管理与其他学科关系

ISBN: 9787115156129 出版时间: 1899-12-01 包装: 平装
开本: 16 页数: 660 字数:  

内容简介

  本书是关于试验设计与分析的入门教材,是作者在亚利桑那州立大学、华盛顿大学和乔治亚工程学院三所大学近30年试验设计教学经验的基础上编写的。内容包括简单比较试验、2k因素设计、响应曲面方法和设计、稳健参数设计和过程稳健性研究、随机因素试验、巢和分图设计等。作者给出了教学建议;还有提供给老师及学生的支持材料,如补充材料,习题解答,教学PPT文件等。.本书适合作为统计人员、自然科学研究人员、工程技术人员、管理人员和教师进行科学试验设计与分析的参考书,也可用于农业类、生物类、统计类的高年级本科生、研究生的教学参考用书。..本书是试验设计与分析课程的经典教材,凝聚了作者在美国多所名校40年的教学经验,被美国麻省理工学院、普度大学、华盛顿大学、英国曼彻斯特大学和我国台湾大学等世界众多高校广泛采用。同时,本书充分体现了几十年来作者将统计试验方法应用于各行各业实际项目的丰富工程实践,经验,因此也深受广大工程科技人员的欢迎。原版累计销量已经超过10万册。书中作者讲述了设计、实施和分析试验以改善产品与过程的高效方法,并说明了如何使用试验进行产品的开发与设计、改进制造过程、获取系统优化和特性的信息。

作者简介

  克里斯托弗 R. 托马斯(Christopher R.Thomas),从1982年起开始在南佛罗里达大学执教,现任经济学副教授。此前他在Oak Ridge国家实验室工作,任能源经济学家职务。目前,托马斯在南佛罗里达大学教授管理经济学课程,对象包括本科生、两个职业经理培训项目、该校传统的EMBA项目和一个从全美范围招收有医生背景的学员的EMBA项目。他在诸如《经济学季刊》(Quarterly Journal of Economics)、《法律与经济学期刊》(Journal of Law and Economics)、《南方经济学报》(Southern Economics Journal)、《经济学与商业报》(Journal of Economics and Business)、《经济与商业季度回顾》(Quarterly Review of Economics and Business)和《经济学教育报》(Journal of Economics Education)等报刊杂志上发表了大量关于政府管制和反垄断的文章。他在南佛罗里达大学的经济政策研究中心担任研究员职务。托马斯教授与其妻子和女儿生活在佛罗里达州的坦帕,工作之余喜

图书目录

Chapter 1 Introduction. 1  
1-1 Strategy of Experimentation   
1-2 Some Typical Applications of Experimental Design 8  
1-3 Basi Principles 12  
1-4 Guidelines for Designing Experiments 1  
1-5 A Brief History of Statistical Design 19  
1-6 Summary: Using Statistical Techniques in Experimentation 21  
1-  Problems 22  
Chapter 2 Simple Comparative Experiments 23  
2-1 Introduction 23  
2-2 Basi Statistical Concepts 24  
2-3 Sampling and Sampling Distributions 28  
2-4 Inferences about the Differences in Means, Randomized Designs 34  
2-4.1 Hypothesis Testing 34  
2-4.2 Choice of Sample Size 41  
2-4.3 Confidence Intervals 43  
2-4.4 The Case Where  45  
2-4.5 The Case Where and Are Known 45  
2-4.6 Comparing a Single Mean to a Specified Value 46  
2-4.7 Summary 47  
2-5 Inferences about the Differences in Means, Paired Comparison Designs 48  
2-5.1 The Paired Comparison Problem 48  
2-5.2 Advantages of the Paired Comparison Design 51  
2-6 Inferences about the Variances of Normal Distributions 52  
2-7 Problems 54  
Chapter 3 Experiments with a Single Factor: The Analysis of Variance 60  
3-1 An Example 61  
3-2 The Analysis of Variance 63  
3-3 Analysis of the Fixed Effects Model 65  
3-3.1 Decomposition of the Total Sum of Squares 66  
3-3.2 Statistical Analysis 68  
3-3.3 Estimation of the Model Parameters 73  
3-3.4 Unbalanced Data 75  
3-4 Model Adequacy Che king 75  
3-4.1 The Normality Assumption 76  
3-4.2 Plot of Residuals in Time Sequence 78  
3-4.3 Plot of Residuals Versus Fitted Values 79  
3-4.4 Plots of Residuals Versus Other Variables 84  
3-5 Practical Interpretation of Results 85  
3-5.1 A Regression Model 85  
3-5.2 Comparisons Among Treatment Means 87  
3-5.3 Graphical Comparisons of Means 87  
3-5.4 Contrasts 88  
3-5.5 Orthogonal Contrasts 91  
3-5.6 Scheff??s Method for Comparing All Contrasts 93  
3-5.7 Comparing Pairs of Treatment Means 94  
3-5.8 Comparing Treatment Means withca Control 97  
3-6 Sample Computer Output 98  
3-7 Determining Sample Size 101  
3-7.1 Operating Characteristi Curves 101  
3-7.2 Specifying a Standard Deviation In rease 104  
3-7.3 Confidence Interval Estimation Method 104  
3-8 Dis overing Dispersion Effects 105  
3-9 The Regression Approach to the Analysis of Variance 107  
3-9.1 Least Squares Estimation of the Model Parameters 107  
3-9.2 The General Regression Significance Test 108  
3-10 Nonparametri Methods in the Analysis of Variance 110  
3-10.1 The KruskalDWallis Test 110  
3-10.2 General Comments on the Rank Transformation 112  
3-11 Problems 112  
Chapter 4 Randomized Blo ks, Latin Squares, and Related Designs 119  
4-1 The Randomized Complete Block Design 119  
4-1.1 Statistical Analysis of the RCBD 121  
4-1.2 Model Adequacy Checking 128  
4-1.3 Some Other Aspeccts of the Randomized Complete Block Design 130  
4-1.4 Estimating Model Parameters and the General Regression Significance Test 133  
4-2 The Latin Square Design 136  
4-3 The Graeco-Latin Square Design 142  
4-4 Balanced In omplete Block Designs 145  
4-4.1 Statistical Analysis of the BIBD 146  
4-4.2 Least Squares Estimation of the Parameters 150  
4-4.3 Recovery of Interblock Information in the BIBD 152  
4-5 Problems 154  
Chapter 5 Introduction to Factorial Designs 160  
5-1 Basi Definitions and Principles 160  
5-2 The Advantage of Factorials 163  
5-3 The Two-Factor Factorial Design 164  
5-3.1 An Example 164  
5-3.2 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed Effects Model 167  
5-3.3 Model Adequacy Checking 172  
5-3.4 Estimating the Model Parameters 175  
5-3.5 Choice of Sample Size 177  
5-3.6 The Assumption of No Interaction in a Two-Factor Model 178  
5-3.7 One Observation per Cell 179  
5-4 The General Factorial Design 182  
5-5 Fitting Response Curves and Surfaces 188  
5-6 Blocking in a Factorial Design 193  
5-7 Problems 197  
Chapter 6 The 2k Factorial Design 203  
6-1 Introduction 203  
6-2 The 22 Design 204  
6-3 The 23 Design 211  
6-4 The General 2k Design 224  
6-5 A Single Replicate of the 2k Design 226  
6-6 The Addition of Center Points to the 2k Design 247  
6-7 Why We Work with Coded Design Variables 251  
6-8 Problems 254  
Chapter 7 Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Factorial Design 265  
7-1 Introduction 265  
7-2 Blocking a Replicated 2k Factorial Design 266  
7-3 Confounding in the 2k Factorial Design 266  
7-4 Confounding the 2k Factorial Design in Two Blocks 267  
7-5 Another Illustration of Why Blocking Is Important 273  
7-6 Confounding the 2k Factorial Design in Four Blocks 275  
7-7 Confounding the 2k Factorial Design in 2p Blocks 276  
7-8 Partial Confounding 278  
7-9 Problems 280  
Chapter 8 Two-Level Fractional Factorial Designs 282  
8-1 Introduction 282  
8-2 The One-Half Fraction of the 2k Design 283  
8-2.1 Definitions and Basic Principles 283  
8-2.2 Design Resolution 285  
8-2.3 Construction and Analysis of the One-Half Fraction 286  
8-3 The One-Quarter Fraction of the 2k Design 296  
8-4 The General 2k2p Fractional Factorial Design 303  
8-4.1 Choosing a Design 303  
8-4.2 Analysis of 2k2p Fractional Factorials 306  
8-4.3 Blocking Fractional Factorials 307  
8-5 Resolution III Designs 312  
8-5.1 Constructing Resolution III Designs 312  
8-5.2 Fold Over of Resolution III Fractions to Separate Aliased Effects 314  
8-5.3 PlackettDBurman Designs 319  
8-6 Resolution IV and V Designs 322  
8-6.1 Resolution IV Designs 322  
8-6.2 Sequential Experimentation with Resolution IV Designs 325  
8-6.3 Resolution V Designs 331  
8-7 Supersaturated Designs 333  
8-8 Summary 335  
8-9 Problems.. 335  
Chapter 9 Three-Level and Mixed-Level Factorial and Fractional Factorial Designs 347  
9-1 The 3k Factorial Design 347  
9-1.1 Notation and Motivation for the 3k Design 347  
9-1.2 The 32 Design 349  
9-1.3 The 33 Design 351  
9-1.4 The General 3k Design 355  
9-2 Confounding in the 3k Factorial Design 356  
9-2.1 The 3k Factorial Design in Three Blocks 356  
9-2.2 The 3k Factorial Design in Nine Blocks 360  
9-2.3 The 3k Fa torial Design in 3p Blocks 360  
9-3 Fractional Replication of the 3k Factorial Design 361  
9-3.1 The One-Third Fraction of the 3k Factorial Design 361  
9-3.2 Other 3k2p Fractional Factorial Designs 364  
9-4 Factorials with Mixed Levels 365  
9-4.1 Factors at Two and Three Levels 366  
9-4.2 Factors at Two and Four Levels 367  
9-5 Problems 369  
Chapter 10 Fitting Regression Models 373  
10-1 Introduction  373  
10-2 Linear Regression Models 374  
10-3 Estimation of the Parameters in Linear Regression Models 375  
10-4 Hypothesis Testing in Multiple Regression 388  
10-4.1 Test for Signifi ance of Regression 388  
10-4.2 Tests on Individual Regression Coefficients and Groups of Coefficients 390  
10-5 Confidence Intervals in Multiple Regression 393  
10-5.1 Confidence Intervalscon the Individual Regression Coeffi ients 393  
10-5.2 Confidence Interval on the Mean Response 394  
10-6 Prediction of New Response Observations 394  
10-7 Regression Model Diagnostics 396  
10-7.1 Scaled Residuals and PRESS 396  
10-7.2 Influence Diagnostics 399  
10-8 Testing for Lack of Fit 400  
10-9 Problems 401  
Chapter 11 Response Surface Methods and Designs 405  
11-1 Introduction to Response Surface Methodology 405  
11-2 The Method of Steepest Ascent 407  
11-3 Analysis of a Second-Order Response Surface 413  
11-3.1 Location of the Stationary Point 413  
11-3.2 Chara terizing the Response Surface 415  
11-3.3 Ridge Systems 422  
11-3.4 Multiple Responses 423  
11-4 Experimental Designs for Fitting Response Surfaces 427  
11-4.1 Designs for Fitting the First-Order Model 428  
11-4.2 Designs for Fitting the Second-Order Model 428  
11-4.3 Blocking in Response Surface Designs 436  
11-4.4 Computer-Generated (Optimal) Designs 439  
11-5 Mixture Experiments 444  
11-6 Evolutionary Operation 452  
11-7 Problems 458  
Chapter 12 Robust Parameter Design and Process Robustness Studies 464  
12-1 Introduction 464  
12-2 Crossed Array Designs 466  
12-3 Analysis of the Crossed Array Design 468  
12-4 Combined Array Designs and the Response Model Approach 471  
12-5 Choice of Designs 477  
12-6 Problems 480  
Chapter 13 Experiments with Random Factors 484  
13-1 The Random Effects Model 485  
13-2 The Two-Factor Factorial with Random Factors 490  
13-3 The Two-Factor Mixed Model 495  
13-4 Sample Size Determination with Random Effects 500  
13-5 Rules for Expected Mean Squares 501  
13-6 Approximate FcTests 505  
13-7 Some Additional Topics on Estimation of Variance Components 511  
13-7.1 Approximate Confidence Intervals on Variance Components 511  
13-7.2 The Modified Large-Sample Method 514  
13-7.3 Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Variance Components 516  
13-8 Problems 521  
Chapter 14 Nested and Split-Plot Designs 525  
14-1 The Two-Stage Nested Design 525  
14-1.1 Statistical Analysis 526  
14-1.2 Diagnosti Checking 531  
14-1.3 Variance Components 532  
14-1.4 Staggered Nested Designs 533  
14-2 The Generalcm-Stage Nested Design 534  
14-3 Designs with Both Nested and Factorial Factors 536  
14-4 The Split-Plot Design 540  
14-5 Other Variations of the Split-Plot Design 545  
14-5.1 Split-Plot Designs with More Than Two Factors 545  
14-5.2 The Split-Split-Plot Design 550  
14-5.3 The Strip-Split-Plot Design 552  
14-6 Problems 554  
Chapter 15 Other Design and Analysis Topics 559  
15-1 Nonnormal Responses and Transformations 560  
15-1.1 Selecting a Transformation: The BoxDCox Method 560  
15-1.2 The Generalized Linear Model 563  
15-2 Unbalanced Data in a Factorial Design 570  
15-2.1 Proportional Data: An Easy Case 571  
15-2.2 Approximate Methods 572  
15-2.3 The Exa t Method 574  
15-3 The Analysis of Covariance 574  
15-3.1 Description of the Procedure 576  
15-3.2 Computer Solution 583  
15-3.3 Development by the General Regression Significance Test 584  
15-3.4 Factorial Experiments with Covariates 586  
15D4 Repeated Measures 590  
15-5 Problems 592  
Bibliography 595  
Appendix 603  
Table I. Cumulative Standard Normal Distribution 604  
Table II. Percentage Points of the t Distribution 606  
Table III. Percentage Points of the x2 Distribution 607  
Table IV. Percentage Points of the F Distribution 608  
Table V. Operating Characteristi Curves for the Fixed Effects Model Analysis of Variance 613  
Table VI. Operating Characteristi Curves for the Random Effects Model Analysis of Variance 617  
Table VII. Percentage Points of the Studentized Range Statisti  621  
Table VIII. Critical Values for Dunnett's Test for Comparing Treatments with a Control 623  
Table IX. Coefficients of Orthogonal Polynomials 625  
Table X. Alias Relationships for 2k-p Fractional Factorial Designs withck≤15 and n≤64 626  
Index ...638  

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